Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | WOF +188 LIP -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +7 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | LIP -10.2 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.0 (-4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -7.6 (+0.6) | 157.5 (+5.5) | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -6.5 (-0.5) | 159.6 (+3.4) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -8.2 (+1.2) | 160.4 (+2.6) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -8.3 (+1.3) | 156.8 (+6.2) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 9, 2024 | LIP 78 – 69 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 11-5 |
| Home | 11-2 | 12-2 |
| Away | 6-9 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 80.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#252) | 5.9 (#87) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#270) | 1.53 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.43 (#293) | 2.42 (#61) |
| RPI | 0.409 (#291) | 0.515 (#151) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 56.2% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.6% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 61.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 43.6% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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