Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -20.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Over |
| Money | FUR -4000 SCST +2200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +8 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -19.9 (-11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 172.2 (-8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -13.2 (-5.2) | 160.2 (+3.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -18.5 (-10.5) | 156.0 (+8.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -15.0 (-7.0) | 159.7 (+4.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -14.3 (-6.3) | 161.3 (+2.7) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2024 | FUR 68 – 64 SCST |
| Dec 3, 2022 | FUR 88 – 76 SCST |
| Dec 21, 2020 | FUR 118 – 52 SCST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FUR | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-5 |
| Home | 12-3 | 9-4 |
| Away | 3-10 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#156) | -12.9 (#343) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#176) | -1.73 (#305) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#148) | -2.73 (#306) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#164) | 0.433 (#267) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FUR | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 24.4% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 43.1% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.2% | 55.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 45.8% |
Game Analysis
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