Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | QUC +140 GWEB -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUC +3 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | QUC -0.7 (+2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.7 (+26.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUC -2.1 (+0.9) | 142.1 (+20.9) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUC -1.6 (+1.4) | 142.2 (+20.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUC -2.1 (+0.9) | 138.0 (+25.0) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUC -2.2 (+0.8) | 138.0 (+25.0) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2025 | QUC 107 – 74 GWEB |
| Dec 14, 2024 | QUC 85 – 83 GWEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUC | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 11-5 |
| Home | 11-3 | 9-4 |
| Away | 2-16 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.6 | 74.8 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#289) | -0.5 (#174) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#239) | -0.54 (#230) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#246) | -1.30 (#253) |
| RPI | 0.415 (#288) | 0.471 (#213) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUC | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 26.3% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 43.2% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 34.6% |
Game Analysis
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