Betting Lines
| Spread | ME -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | HC +170 ME -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ME +15 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | ME -5.7 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.6 (-6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ME -5.3 (-9.7) | 137.0 (-8.0) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ME -7.3 (-7.7) | 132.1 (-3.1) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ME -7.3 (-7.7) | 135.2 (-6.2) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ME -5.1 (-9.9) | 138.3 (-9.3) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 24, 2024 | ME 80 – 55 HC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HC | ME |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 7-9 |
| Home | 5-8 | 8-4 |
| Away | 4-14 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 67.7 |
| Massey | -13.0 (#346) | -0.9 (#185) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#278) | -0.62 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.33 (#292) | -0.89 (#233) |
| RPI | 0.414 (#291) | 0.453 (#240) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HC | ME |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 21.5% |
| FT Rate | 13.3% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.3% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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