Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Under |
| Money | FAU -355 LIB +278 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +25 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -7.7 (+17.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.3 (-13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -7.6 (+17.4) | 148.6 (-7.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -7.7 (+17.3) | 143.8 (-2.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -8.0 (+17.0) | 149.4 (-8.4) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -6.6 (+18.4) | 149.3 (-8.3) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 9, 2025 | LIB 88 – 68 FAU |
| Nov 16, 2024 | FAU 77 – 74 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAU | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 7-9 |
| Home | 13-1 | 12-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.0 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 15.2 (#11) | 14.0 (#19) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.65 (#28) | 3.86 (#4) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.99 (#29) | 6.04 (#5) |
| RPI | 0.674 (#14) | 0.749 (#2) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAU | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.4% | 52.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.2% | 40.6% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.5% | 62.1% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 16.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 77.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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