Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | BYU -1600 FRES +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +29 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -27.8 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (-1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -16.0 (+13.0) | 143.5 (-2.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -18.1 (+10.9) | 145.7 (-4.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -19.8 (+9.2) | 145.9 (-4.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -19.7 (+9.3) | 145.2 (-4.2) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 12, 2024 | BYU 95 – 67 FRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | FRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 4-14 |
| Home | 16-2 | 7-9 |
| Away | 3-7 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 74.2 |
| Massey | 21.3 (#2) | -6.4 (#292) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.38 (#9) | -1.44 (#284) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.21 (#8) | -2.32 (#293) |
| RPI | 0.611 (#45) | 0.424 (#280) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | FRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.6% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 47.3 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 14.7 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.86 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.6% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 40.0% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.3% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 81.0% | 76.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.2% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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