Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | MINN -3500 BCU +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +17 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | MINN -9.4 (+7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.2 (+19.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -6.4 (+10.6) | 127.8 (+13.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MINN -10.8 (+6.2) | 132.4 (+8.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -7.9 (+9.1) | 130.6 (+10.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -7.1 (+9.9) | 129.0 (+12.0) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 7, 2023 | MINN 80 – 60 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 13-5 |
| Home | 10-9 | 8-2 |
| Away | 5-5 | 7-12 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#174) | -4.2 (#240) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#130) | -0.79 (#250) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#120) | -1.51 (#262) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#176) | 0.460 (#253) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 26.6% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.7% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 62.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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