Betting Lines
| Spread | FIU -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Under |
| Money | FIU -1100 LIU +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FIU +15 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | FIU -7.3 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (-14.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FIU -5.5 (+9.5) | 142.9 (-9.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FIU -4.0 (+11.0) | 142.0 (-9.0) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FIU -3.8 (+11.2) | 141.7 (-8.7) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FIU -4.0 (+11.0) | 144.3 (-11.3) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2025 | FIU 86 – 79 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FIU | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 7-22 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 6-10 |
| Home | 9-6 | 5-4 |
| Away | 1-12 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#294) | -7.6 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.58 (#337) | -1.34 (#279) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.23 (#322) | -1.94 (#281) |
| RPI | 0.377 (#332) | 0.400 (#312) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FIU | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 23.1% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 19.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.5% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.4% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 61.1% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.4% | 36.5% |
Game Analysis
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