Betting Lines
| Spread | PRES -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | PRES -400 FAMU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAMU +5 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | PRES -15.0 (-20.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (-15.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRES -11.6 (-16.6) | 141.1 (-16.1) | 87% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRES -11.5 (-16.5) | 141.1 (-16.1) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRES -11.9 (-16.9) | 143.0 (-18.0) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PRES -11.6 (-16.6) | 143.3 (-18.3) | 86% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2024 | FAMU 66 – 63 PRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRES | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 6-23 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 4-14 |
| Home | 8-7 | 4-8 |
| Away | 5-9 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 76.7 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#227) | -11.9 (#341) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#213) | -1.96 (#311) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#226) | -2.78 (#310) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#280) | 0.496 (#180) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRES | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 36.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 39.4% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 22.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 12.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 57.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 58.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 35.4% |
Game Analysis
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