Betting Lines
| Spread | CAN -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | CAN -225 RMU +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAN +7 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | CAN -13.6 (-6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (+22.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAN -12.2 (-5.2) | 143.6 (+23.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAN -8.6 (-1.6) | 142.2 (+24.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAN -11.4 (-4.4) | 143.5 (+23.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAN -11.9 (-4.9) | 143.6 (+23.4) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2024 | RMU 72 – 64 CAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAN | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 6-14 |
| Home | 8-4 | 7-9 |
| Away | 3-12 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#150) | -6.6 (#297) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#152) | -2.05 (#316) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#152) | -2.71 (#308) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#119) | 0.380 (#330) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAN | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 38.7% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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