Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | DUQ -1600 SPU +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUQ +9 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | DUQ -11.4 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.9 (-3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -10.0 (-1.0) | 134.1 (-7.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -11.4 (-2.4) | 129.7 (-2.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -11.5 (-2.5) | 130.3 (-3.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -9.9 (-0.9) | 133.0 (-6.0) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2024 | SPU 62 – 59 DUQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 13-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 5-6 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 64.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 63.8 |
| Massey | 5.6 (#84) | -0.2 (#173) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.76 (#57) | 0.40 (#148) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.47 (#53) | 0.49 (#154) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#80) | 0.487 (#194) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 23.7% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 39.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 39.2% |
Game Analysis
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