Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | QUIN -225 NAVY +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +3 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | QUIN -3.8 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -4.2 (-1.2) | 138.4 (+0.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -2.9 (+0.1) | 142.1 (-3.1) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -3.4 (-0.4) | 141.3 (-2.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -3.7 (-0.7) | 136.6 (+2.4) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2024 | QUIN 74 – 63 NAVY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUIN | NAVY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-3 | 10-5 |
| Away | 10-5 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 67.8 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#268) | -3.6 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#140) | -2.55 (#339) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#172) | -3.52 (#334) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#170) | 0.351 (#354) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUIN | NAVY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 36.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 24.5% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 40.8% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 23.8% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.8% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.