Betting Lines
| Spread | PUR -6.0 Push |
| O/U | 164.0 Over |
| Money | PUR -220 ALA +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PUR +6 | 178 | Won |
| Massey | PUR -3.6 (+2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 169.2 (+8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PUR -4.6 (+1.4) | 167.5 (+10.5) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PUR -2.8 (+3.2) | 167.2 (+10.8) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PUR -4.0 (+2.0) | 166.5 (+11.5) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PUR -3.4 (+2.6) | 168.2 (+9.8) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 14, 2025 | PUR 87 – 80 ALA |
| Nov 16, 2024 | PUR 87 – 78 ALA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PUR | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 34-5 | 25-12 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 13-5 |
| Home | 16-0 | 14-2 |
| Away | 7-3 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 11-2 | 6-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.3 | 90.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 81.2 |
| Massey | 20.0 (#4) | 16.5 (#10) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.81 (#6) | 2.15 (#39) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.48 (#6) | 3.29 (#32) |
| RPI | 0.716 (#2) | 0.630 (#27) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PUR | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 49.9% |
| 3PT% | 39.7% | 40.9% |
| REB / G | 42.6 | 40.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.3% | 58.6% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 37.1% |
| FT Rate | 32.4% | 37.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.0% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.0% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.