Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Under |
| Money | UNLV +700 CREI -1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNLV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNLV +15 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -22.2 (+37.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (-9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -16.4 (+31.4) | 148.6 (-5.6) | 13% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -16.2 (+31.2) | 147.3 (-4.3) | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -18.6 (+33.6) | 145.5 (-2.5) | 17% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -20.3 (+35.3) | 149.4 (-6.4) | 13% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2024 | CREI 83 – 65 UNLV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNLV | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 14-6 |
| Home | 12-5 | 14-2 |
| Away | 8-4 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 80.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#193) | 20.9 (#6) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#237) | 2.54 (#22) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.13 (#265) | 3.65 (#21) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#256) | 0.625 (#27) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNLV | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 51.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 40.2% |
| REB / G | 30.1 | 41.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 61.5% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.4% | 43.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 11.1% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 78.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 9.5% |
Game Analysis
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