Betting Lines
| Spread | UNA -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | CHSO +180 UNA -220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNA +12 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | UNA -5.9 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (-5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNA -5.4 (-6.6) | 143.1 (-3.1) | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNA -6.4 (-5.6) | 142.9 (-2.9) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNA -5.8 (-6.2) | 145.2 (-5.2) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNA -4.8 (-7.2) | 144.7 (-4.7) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2024 | UNA 86 – 69 CHSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHSO | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 8-8 |
| Home | 7-7 | 10-4 |
| Away | 3-12 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.0 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 77.0 |
| Massey | -14.1 (#352) | -3.4 (#234) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.62 (#337) | -0.74 (#251) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.28 (#352) | -0.98 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.373 (#347) | 0.436 (#277) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHSO | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.61 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 23.3% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 29.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.3% | 30.3% |
Game Analysis
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