Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Under |
| Money | NEV -440 WEB +335 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEV +17 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | NEV -9.1 (+7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.6 (-5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEV -8.9 (+8.1) | 134.9 (-7.9) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEV -8.7 (+8.3) | 132.6 (-5.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEV -8.4 (+8.6) | 134.4 (-7.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEV -8.5 (+8.5) | 134.4 (-7.4) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 14, 2024 | NEV 88 – 58 WEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEV | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 11-7 |
| Home | 15-2 | 12-2 |
| Away | 8-3 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 69.5 |
| Massey | 8.3 (#57) | 4.1 (#108) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.07 (#38) | 0.45 (#139) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.48 (#46) | 1.18 (#107) |
| RPI | 0.588 (#53) | 0.476 (#211) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEV | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.55 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 13.5% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 22.5% |
| FT Rate | 37.2% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 77.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.6% | 14.8% |
Game Analysis
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