Betting Lines
| Spread | TULN -7.0 Push |
| O/U | 172.5 Over |
| Money | TULN -335 FUR +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TULN +7 | 227 | Won |
| Massey | TULN -8.4 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 178.6 (+48.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TULN -6.7 (+0.3) | 162.5 (+64.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TULN -6.2 (+0.8) | 161.7 (+65.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TULN -8.5 (-1.5) | 169.8 (+57.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TULN -8.1 (-1.1) | 166.5 (+60.5) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2024 | FUR 75 – 67 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-6 | 12-3 |
| Away | 2-8 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.5 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.6 | 76.7 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#116) | 0.0 (#168) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#101) | -0.35 (#217) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#97) | -0.19 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#152) | 0.479 (#207) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.7% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 5.8 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.8% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 19.0% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 44.0% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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