Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | LEM -110 ARMY -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +3 | 203 | Lost |
| Massey | LEM -3.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (+51.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEM -3.2 (-6.2) | 145.5 (+57.5) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEM -2.3 (-5.3) | 145.6 (+57.4) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEM -1.9 (-4.9) | 147.9 (+55.1) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LEM -3.9 (-6.9) | 146.9 (+56.1) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 5, 2023 | ARMY 68 – 51 LEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEM | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-7 | 12-4 |
| Away | 2-16 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.4 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#288) | -4.2 (#240) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#234) | -0.89 (#254) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#226) | -0.84 (#223) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#253) | 0.429 (#288) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEM | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 12.8% |
| DRB% | 61.3% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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