Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | USD +105 PRST -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USD +4 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | PRST -1.7 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.9 (-9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USD -0.7 (+3.3) | 141.4 (-7.4) | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -0.5 (+4.5) | 140.5 (-6.5) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -0.1 (+4.1) | 141.1 (-7.1) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | USD -0.1 (+3.9) | 141.1 (-7.1) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2024 | PRST 85 – 76 USD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USD | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-6 | 11-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#215) | 4.2 (#110) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#163) | 1.76 (#50) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#181) | 1.97 (#66) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#179) | 0.605 (#36) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USD | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 17.3% |
Game Analysis
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