Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | SBU +333 FAU -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +10 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | FAU -9.8 (-0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.4 (-34.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -6.1 (-3.9) | 145.5 (-27.5) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -9.1 (-0.9) | 144.1 (-26.1) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -7.2 (-2.8) | 147.8 (-29.8) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -7.4 (-2.6) | 148.4 (-30.4) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2025 | SBU 70 – 65 FAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SBU | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 14-4 |
| Home | 11-4 | 13-1 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 7-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 82.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#82) | 15.8 (#10) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#123) | 2.10 (#35) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#124) | 2.93 (#33) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#149) | 0.636 (#18) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SBU | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 51.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 39.6% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 59.4% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.