Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | MCN -215 SCU +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +7 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | MCN -9.4 (-16.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (-5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -6.1 (-13.1) | 139.7 (+1.3) | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -6.8 (-13.8) | 141.4 (-0.4) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -7.5 (-14.5) | 141.1 (-0.1) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -7.6 (-14.6) | 140.1 (+0.9) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2025 | SCU 79 – 67 MCN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 19-1 | 12-6 |
| Home | 15-1 | 12-5 |
| Away | 10-2 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 81.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.5 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 7.0 (#74) | 2.9 (#117) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.17 (#83) | -0.25 (#197) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.10 (#76) | -0.38 (#195) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#33) | 0.540 (#105) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 27.4% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 32.0% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.5% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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