Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | BGSU -225 KC +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BGSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +10 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | BGSU -9.3 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (+6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -6.4 (+3.6) | 140.7 (+7.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -5.5 (+4.5) | 139.2 (+8.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -8.1 (+1.9) | 140.2 (+7.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -6.6 (+3.4) | 141.5 (+6.5) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2024 | KC 85 – 77 BGSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BGSU | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-6 |
| Home | 12-5 | 10-3 |
| Away | 5-7 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#173) | -4.6 (#261) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#174) | -1.58 (#298) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#190) | -1.94 (#296) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#244) | 0.483 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BGSU | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 55.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 34.8% |
Game Analysis
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