I got a baby's brain and an old man's heart "I'm Eighteen" - Alice Cooper
Colonial Life Arena · December 16, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread SC -19.5 Away covered
O/U 136.5 Over
Money SC -2500 / CHSO +1400
Model Predictions
Spread Total SC win
Actual SC +4 142 Won
Massey SC -28.6 (-24.6) — —
Massey Totals — 133.4 (+8.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 100% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SC -20.3 (-16.3) 133.8 (+8.2) 90% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SC -22.4 (-18.4) 137.5 (+4.5) 91% ✓
Baseline ML SC -24.6 (-20.6) 135.7 (+6.3) 91% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SC -23.9 (-19.9) 134.2 (+7.8) 91% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 28, 2025 SC 74 – 62 CHSO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SC CHSO
Overall 26-8 10-20
Conference 13-5 6-10
Home 14-3 7-7
Away 8-3 3-12
Neutral 4-2 0-1
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 72.1 64.0
Avg Pts Against 67.6 74.5
Massey 8.7 (#51) -15.0 (#354)
Bradley-Terry 3.89 (#4) -2.95 (#346)
W. Bradley-Terry 5.56 (#3) -4.51 (#355)
RPI 0.662 (#6) 0.356 (#354)
Shooting & Four Factors SC CHSO
FG% 45.6% 40.5%
3PT% 38.6% 31.1%
REB / G 35.2 31.3
OREB / G 9.7 8.4
AST / TO 1.48 0.63
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.9% 46.1%
TOV% 15.0% 21.8%
ORB% 28.7% 25.0%
FT Rate 24.7% 27.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.0% 51.9%
Opp TOV% 16.3% 14.5%
DRB% 74.4% 67.5%
Opp FT Rate 24.8% 30.0%

Game Analysis

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