Betting Lines
| Spread | UALB -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | UALB -138 SHU +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UALB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UALB +14 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | UALB -9.3 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.2 (+20.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UALB -9.6 (+4.4) | 145.1 (+26.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UALB -6.3 (+7.7) | 148.4 (+23.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UALB -8.4 (+5.6) | 147.8 (+24.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UALB -9.3 (+4.7) | 144.5 (+27.5) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2024 | UALB 74 – 66 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UALB | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 10-6 |
| Home | 7-5 | 11-5 |
| Away | 4-13 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 73.3 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#217) | -7.4 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#179) | -1.87 (#316) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#200) | -2.60 (#318) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#172) | 0.409 (#312) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UALB | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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