Betting Lines
| Spread | UTEP -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Under |
| Money | UTEP -278 NORF +222 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTEP +2 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | UTEP -2.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.0 (-4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTEP -2.3 (-0.3) | 134.6 (-2.6) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -1.9 (+0.1) | 135.4 (-3.4) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -1.6 (+0.4) | 134.9 (-2.9) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTEP -1.7 (+0.3) | 135.0 (-3.0) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2025 | NORF 72 – 71 UTEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 11-3 |
| Home | 13-5 | 15-0 |
| Away | 2-9 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 68.6 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#251) | -1.9 (#200) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.88 (#261) | -0.15 (#197) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#250) | -0.61 (#226) |
| RPI | 0.445 (#269) | 0.487 (#195) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 24.2% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 31.6% | 32.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.3% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 40.2% | 35.6% |
Game Analysis
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