All your compliments and your cutting remarks are captured here in my quotation marks. "Everyday I Write the Book" - Elvis Costello
T-Mobile Center (Neutral) · December 22, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread KSU -6.0 Home covered
O/U 146.0 Under
Money KSU -220 / WICH +180
Model Predictions
Spread Total KSU win
Actual KSU +9 129 Won
Massey KSU -1.0 (+8.0) — —
Massey Totals — 150.5 (-21.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 61% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 57% ✓
Baseline Plus ML KSU -0.2 (+8.8) 146.2 (-17.2) 53% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ KSU -2.3 (+6.7) 147.3 (-18.3) 62% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML KSU -0.6 (+8.4) 144.4 (-15.4) 53% ✓
Baseline ML KSU -0.7 (+8.3) 145.1 (-16.1) 54% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 22, 2024 WICH 84 – 65 KSU
Dec 4, 2022 KSU 55 – 50 WICH
Dec 5, 2021 KSU 65 – 59 WICH

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KSU WICH
Overall 19-15 15-19
Conference 8-10 5-13
Home 14-3 10-5
Away 2-9 2-9
Neutral 3-3 3-5
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 72.2 72.1
Avg Pts Against 71.1 73.3
Massey 5.1 (#90) 4.0 (#103)
Bradley-Terry 1.32 (#74) 0.88 (#113)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.33 (#98) 1.03 (#114)
RPI 0.555 (#94) 0.560 (#85)
Shooting & Four Factors KSU WICH
FG% 43.1% 44.1%
3PT% 30.2% 31.9%
REB / G 40.0 43.5
OREB / G 14.1 12.8
AST / TO 1.09 1.05
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.5% 49.2%
TOV% 19.6% 15.9%
ORB% 36.6% 33.5%
FT Rate 25.1% 20.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.8% 46.1%
Opp TOV% 18.9% 13.3%
DRB% 69.0% 75.1%
Opp FT Rate 18.2% 16.6%

Game Analysis

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