Betting Lines
| Spread | CAM -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.0 Over |
| Money | SFPA +130 CAM -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFPA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFPA +2 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | SFPA -0.7 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 119.0 (+35.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SFPA -1.1 (+0.9) | 124.5 (+29.5) | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SFPA -0.5 (+1.5) | 127.0 (+27.0) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFPA -1.4 (+0.6) | 124.5 (+29.5) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SFPA -1.1 (+0.9) | 125.0 (+29.0) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2024 | SFPA 65 – 64 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFPA | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-22 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 8-10 |
| Home | 6-8 | 11-6 |
| Away | 2-14 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.2 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 73.9 |
| Massey | -11.5 (#336) | -7.7 (#300) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.95 (#348) | -2.00 (#324) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.41 (#351) | -2.57 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.366 (#351) | 0.391 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFPA | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.4% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.6% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 62.1% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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