Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | GCU -292 LT +235 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +3 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | GCU -6.0 (-3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (+3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -7.4 (-4.4) | 140.7 (+2.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -7.1 (-4.1) | 139.1 (+3.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -5.0 (-2.0) | 140.8 (+2.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -6.2 (-3.2) | 139.9 (+3.1) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2024 | LT 74 – 66 GCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GCU | LT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-5 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 12-4 |
| Home | 16-0 | 14-2 |
| Away | 8-3 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.8 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.8 | 65.6 |
| Massey | 8.9 (#61) | 7.4 (#71) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.33 (#10) | 1.22 (#82) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.41 (#11) | 2.05 (#64) |
| RPI | 0.617 (#24) | 0.565 (#74) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GCU | LT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 40.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 38.0% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 36.3% | 30.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 44.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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