Betting Lines
| Spread | MSST -30.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | MSST -8000 BCU +3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSST +23 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | MSST -27.1 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.9 (+11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSST -23.0 (+0.0) | 141.2 (+5.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSST -25.2 (-2.2) | 141.4 (+5.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSST -27.1 (-4.1) | 142.7 (+4.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSST -26.0 (-3.0) | 142.3 (+4.7) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2024 | MSST 87 – 73 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSST | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 11-7 |
| Home | 11-4 | 11-2 |
| Away | 2-8 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 73.7 |
| Massey | 11.9 (#34) | -10.7 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.26 (#28) | -1.58 (#298) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.61 (#23) | -2.16 (#309) |
| RPI | 0.613 (#26) | 0.426 (#300) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSST | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 26.3% |
| REB / G | 40.9 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 43.6% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 35.2% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.5% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 24.0% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 62.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 37.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.