Betting Lines
| Spread | NJIT -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | NJIT -200 MORG +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NJIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NJIT +16 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | NJIT -5.5 (+10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.4 (-33.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NJIT -3.9 (+12.1) | 148.8 (-26.8) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NJIT -3.9 (+12.1) | 144.4 (-22.4) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NJIT -4.1 (+11.9) | 148.2 (-26.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NJIT -4.0 (+12.0) | 151.3 (-29.3) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2024 | MORG 81 – 69 NJIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NJIT | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-21 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 7-7 |
| Home | 5-8 | 8-5 |
| Away | 2-13 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 80.0 |
| Massey | -12.7 (#342) | -13.7 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.88 (#320) | -2.72 (#347) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.73 (#326) | -3.28 (#337) |
| RPI | 0.412 (#320) | 0.427 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NJIT | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 16.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 56.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 61.9% | 61.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.9% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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