Betting Lines
| Spread | BELL -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | BELL -150 APSU +126 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BELL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | APSU +16 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | BELL -2.3 (-18.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.4 (+26.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | APSU -0.0 (-16.0) | 132.2 (+19.8) | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BELL -1.1 (-17.1) | 132.8 (+19.2) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | APSU -0.4 (-15.6) | 132.1 (+19.9) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | APSU -0.6 (-15.4) | 133.1 (+18.9) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | BELL 111 – 97 APSU |
| Feb 14, 2026 | APSU 90 – 70 BELL |
| Feb 18, 2025 | BELL 94 – 68 APSU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | APSU 86 – 77 BELL |
| Mar 2, 2024 | APSU 90 – 87 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BELL | APSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 10-6 |
| Home | 6-7 | 14-3 |
| Away | 2-16 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 74.8 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#273) | -3.5 (#240) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#294) | -0.51 (#229) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#269) | -0.89 (#246) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#226) | 0.485 (#197) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BELL | APSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.0% | 16.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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