Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | CAN +245 MRMK -310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +8 | 112 | Lost |
| Massey | MRMK -5.9 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.1 (-23.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -5.5 (-2.5) | 130.2 (-18.2) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -5.3 (-2.7) | 131.5 (-19.5) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -6.3 (-1.7) | 132.0 (-20.0) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -6.9 (-1.1) | 134.4 (-22.4) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CAN 67 – 62 MRMK |
| Feb 8, 2025 | MRMK 69 – 51 CAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAN | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-28 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 14-6 |
| Home | 1-12 | 8-5 |
| Away | 2-15 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.8 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 64.2 |
| Massey | -15.5 (#354) | -4.8 (#245) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.15 (#356) | -0.66 (#234) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.60 (#359) | -0.73 (#216) |
| RPI | 0.361 (#350) | 0.483 (#200) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAN | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 27.4% |
| REB / G | 26.9 | 29.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 21.0% | 21.7% |
| FT Rate | 16.0% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.5% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 62.5% | 61.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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