Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | TEM -175 RICE +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +3 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | TEM -5.5 (-8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (-11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -4.6 (-7.6) | 143.5 (-8.5) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -4.5 (-7.5) | 142.5 (-7.5) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -4.7 (-7.7) | 141.8 (-6.8) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -4.6 (-7.6) | 142.0 (-7.0) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | RICE 80 – 74 TEM |
| Jan 22, 2026 | TEM 69 – 65 RICE |
| Jan 11, 2025 | TEM 73 – 70 RICE |
| Feb 29, 2024 | TEM 65 – 43 RICE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-20 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 5-13 |
| Home | 5-9 | 6-10 |
| Away | 5-7 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#219) | -4.5 (#253) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#208) | -1.40 (#301) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.71 (#232) | -1.44 (#282) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#188) | 0.442 (#279) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.3% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.9% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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