Betting Lines
| Spread | UTEP -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | UTEP -165 SEA +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTEP +16 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -0.5 (+16.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (+19.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTEP -0.6 (+15.4) | 135.4 (+24.6) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -1.6 (+14.4) | 138.2 (+21.8) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -0.7 (+15.3) | 137.9 (+22.1) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTEP -0.7 (+15.3) | 136.1 (+23.9) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2025 | SEA 75 – 68 UTEP |
| Dec 31, 2023 | SEA 73 – 61 UTEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-8 |
| Home | 11-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-8 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#156) | 5.5 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.00 (#175) | 0.34 (#140) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#221) | 1.18 (#103) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#183) | 0.515 (#142) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 27.8 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.1% | 33.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 56.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 29.2% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 40.5% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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