All my failings exposed, gets a taste in my mouth as desperation takes hold "Love Will Tear Us Apart" - Joy Division
Big 12 Conference · Hope Coliseum · February 3, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread BYU -6.5 Away covered
O/U 151.5 Over
Money WVU +225 / BYU -300
Model Predictions
Spread Total WVU win
Actual BYU +13 159 Lost
Massey BYU -15.1 (+2.1) — —
Massey Totals — 149.3 (+9.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 20% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 17% ✓
Baseline Plus ML BYU -11.9 (-1.1) 146.4 (+12.6) 17% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BYU -12.2 (-0.8) 148.4 (+10.6) 20% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML BYU -12.4 (-0.6) 146.6 (+12.4) 16% ✓
Baseline ML BYU -12.4 (-0.6) 146.4 (+12.6) 15% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 11, 2026 BYU 68 – 48 WVU
Feb 28, 2026 WVU 79 – 71 BYU
Mar 2, 2025 BYU 77 – 56 WVU
Feb 12, 2025 BYU 73 – 69 WVU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WVU BYU
Overall 9-23 23-11
Conference 4-14 10-8
Home 9-9 16-2
Away 0-9 3-7
Neutral 0-5 4-2
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L6 L2
Avg Pts For 69.8 81.4
Avg Pts Against 76.8 69.9
Massey 1.8 (#138) 20.4 (#4)
Bradley-Terry 0.12 (#160) 2.18 (#36)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.40 (#151) 2.71 (#34)
RPI 0.507 (#155) 0.588 (#44)
Shooting & Four Factors WVU BYU
FG% 41.5% 47.9%
3PT% 33.3% 36.4%
REB / G 34.5 41.5
OREB / G 9.4 12.5
AST / TO 1.06 1.80
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.7% 57.3%
TOV% 17.6% 16.0%
ORB% 26.7% 35.0%
FT Rate 27.1% 15.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.4% 45.7%
Opp TOV% 15.8% 17.2%
DRB% 69.8% 76.2%
Opp FT Rate 19.8% 20.2%

Game Analysis

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