Betting Lines
| Spread | ELON -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | ELON -140 WOF +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ELON +23 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | ELON -6.1 (+16.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (-2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ELON -3.6 (+19.4) | 138.3 (-3.3) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ELON -6.6 (+16.4) | 137.9 (-2.9) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ELON -6.5 (+16.5) | 137.8 (-2.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ELON -6.8 (+16.2) | 134.6 (+0.4) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | ELON 73 – 52 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-4 | 7-6 |
| Away | 6-9 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 70.8 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#111) | 2.0 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#157) | -0.43 (#207) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#149) | 0.09 (#161) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#208) | 0.469 (#230) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 41.1 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 35.6% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 14.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.7% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.8% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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