Betting Lines
| Spread | UNF -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Over |
| Money | GASO -110 UNF -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GASO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GASO +2 | 184 | Won |
| Massey | UNF -3.0 (+5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 170.4 (+13.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GASO -0.5 (+1.5) | 160.5 (+23.5) | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNF -1.3 (+3.3) | 158.9 (+25.1) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GASO -0.0 (+2.0) | 160.1 (+23.9) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNF -0.1 (+2.1) | 158.4 (+25.6) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 9, 2023 | UNF 64 – 56 GASO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GASO | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-3 | 8-6 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 85.7 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#259) | 2.3 (#128) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#180) | 1.06 (#88) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#223) | 0.65 (#129) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#177) | 0.564 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GASO | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.63 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 14.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 13.3% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 40.0% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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