Betting Lines
| Spread | ULM -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | ULM -188 CCU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ULM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ULM +4 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | ULM -5.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (+6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ULM -4.3 (-0.3) | 150.0 (+4.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ULM -4.3 (-0.3) | 146.3 (+7.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ULM -4.8 (-0.8) | 147.9 (+6.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ULM -5.0 (-1.0) | 148.9 (+5.1) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | CCU 83 – 79 ULM |
| Jan 4, 2025 | CCU 70 – 51 ULM |
| Mar 5, 2024 | CCU 75 – 71 ULM |
| Feb 3, 2023 | ULM 83 – 70 CCU |
| Dec 31, 2021 | CCU 94 – 64 ULM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ULM | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-19 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-6 | 7-11 |
| Away | 3-12 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 79.4 |
| Massey | -8.3 (#305) | -10.5 (#323) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.48 (#303) | -2.05 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.72 (#300) | -2.45 (#331) |
| RPI | 0.437 (#289) | 0.390 (#341) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ULM | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 26.8% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.3% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 13.3% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.0% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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