Betting Lines
| Spread | KENN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | APSU +110 KENN -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | APSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | APSU +16 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | APSU -4.1 (+11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.7 (-4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | APSU -3.6 (+12.4) | 156.8 (-2.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | APSU -2.0 (+14.0) | 153.6 (+0.4) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | APSU -3.5 (+12.5) | 155.7 (-1.7) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | APSU -2.4 (+13.6) | 155.8 (-1.8) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2023 | KENN 84 – 57 APSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | APSU | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 6-10 |
| Home | 14-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-12 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 83.7 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#242) | -4.8 (#260) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#232) | -0.56 (#228) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#242) | -0.65 (#230) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#227) | 0.447 (#275) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | APSU | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 30.6% |
Game Analysis
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