Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | TTU -110 TA&M -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +5 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | TTU -2.9 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (-3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -0.7 (-5.7) | 140.2 (-1.2) | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -1.0 (-6.0) | 137.2 (+1.8) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -0.1 (-4.9) | 140.4 (-1.4) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -0.5 (-5.5) | 141.4 (-2.4) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-9 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 11-7 |
| Home | 15-3 | 13-3 |
| Away | 8-2 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 74.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 14.6 (#25) | 11.7 (#43) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.17 (#79) | 2.54 (#37) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.45 (#61) | 3.67 (#36) |
| RPI | 0.587 (#56) | 0.634 (#27) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.6% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 40.9% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 43.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 17.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.65 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.5% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 36.7% | 43.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 30.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 43.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.