Betting Lines
| Spread | PFW -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | IUIN +550 PFW -1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PFW +27 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | PFW -14.3 (-12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (+9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PFW -13.3 (-13.7) | 144.3 (+12.7) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PFW -12.3 (-14.7) | 145.3 (+11.7) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PFW -13.2 (-13.8) | 141.4 (+15.6) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PFW -13.3 (-13.7) | 141.9 (+15.1) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | PFW 87 – 81 IUIN |
| Feb 15, 2026 | PFW 83 – 78 IUIN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | PFW 91 – 80 IUIN |
| Dec 12, 2024 | PFW 78 – 76 IUIN |
| Jan 18, 2024 | IUIN 85 – 79 PFW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IUIN | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-26 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 11-9 |
| Home | 4-10 | 11-5 |
| Away | 2-13 | 10-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L12 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 78.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.2 | 72.9 |
| Massey | -17.3 (#360) | 0.3 (#157) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.02 (#355) | -0.30 (#197) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.77 (#354) | -0.23 (#188) |
| RPI | 0.375 (#355) | 0.464 (#242) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IUIN | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 24.8% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 30.3 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 22.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.1% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 65.1% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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