Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | ARMY +145 COR -170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +19 | 187 | Lost |
| Massey | ARMY -1.0 (-20.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.7 (+18.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -0.8 (-18.2) | 166.5 (+20.5) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -1.7 (-20.7) | 158.2 (+28.8) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -1.6 (-20.6) | 158.4 (+28.6) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -2.8 (-21.8) | 162.0 (+25.0) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2025 | COR 86 – 73 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARMY | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 18-11 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-5 |
| Home | 12-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 83.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#218) | 0.2 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#183) | -0.06 (#178) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#178) | -0.53 (#199) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#192) | 0.506 (#165) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARMY | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.9% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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