Betting Lines
| Spread | HARV -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | UNH +280 HARV -360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HARV +10 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | HARV -5.2 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.2 (+0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HARV -4.4 (-5.6) | 132.7 (+1.3) | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HARV -5.8 (-4.2) | 134.6 (-0.6) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HARV -4.6 (-5.4) | 131.4 (+2.6) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HARV -4.0 (-6.0) | 132.3 (+1.7) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 9, 2025 | HARV 86 – 75 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNH | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 12-15 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 7-7 |
| Home | 6-7 | 7-5 |
| Away | 2-15 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.9 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -16.4 (#356) | -6.7 (#291) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.67 (#362) | -1.86 (#315) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.29 (#362) | -2.20 (#302) |
| RPI | 0.353 (#353) | 0.399 (#321) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNH | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 15.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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