I'm gonna tell you how it's gonna be. "Not Fade Away"-The Rolling Stones
Horizon League · Nutter Center · February 11, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread WRST -3.5 Away covered
O/U 164.5 Under
Money WRST -150 / OAK +150
Model Predictions
Spread Total WRST win
Actual OAK +14 134 Lost
Massey WRST -2.0 (-16.0) — —
Massey Totals — 171.6 (-37.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 50% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 56% ✗
Baseline Plus ML WRST -1.2 (-15.2) 162.9 (-28.9) 59% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WRST -1.2 (-15.2) 159.2 (-25.2) 50% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WRST -1.0 (-15.0) 161.6 (-27.6) 59% ✗
Baseline ML WRST -1.0 (-15.0) 162.9 (-28.9) 58% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 11, 2026 WRST 94 – 84 OAK
Dec 30, 2025 WRST 88 – 73 OAK
Jan 10, 2025 WRST 66 – 62 OAK
Dec 6, 2024 OAK 66 – 64 WRST
Feb 25, 2024 WRST 96 – 75 OAK

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WRST OAK
Overall 18-14 24-12
Conference 13-7 15-5
Home 9-7 10-3
Away 7-6 9-7
Neutral 2-1 5-2
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 86.2 76.4
Avg Pts Against 82.8 73.2
Massey 0.4 (#159) 1.8 (#138)
Bradley-Terry -0.03 (#176) 0.61 (#123)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.00 (#170) 0.45 (#142)
RPI 0.511 (#152) 0.552 (#93)
Shooting & Four Factors WRST OAK
FG% 53.6% 44.4%
3PT% 38.4% 34.0%
REB / G 33.3 35.2
OREB / G 8.8 10.8
AST / TO 1.32 1.24
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 59.0% 51.3%
TOV% 16.8% 16.3%
ORB% 28.8% 30.8%
FT Rate 25.8% 22.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.7% 52.1%
Opp TOV% 15.9% 16.5%
DRB% 70.6% 70.8%
Opp FT Rate 22.5% 20.3%

Game Analysis

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