Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | UAPB -111 JKST -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAPB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +13 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | JKST -1.5 (-11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.0 (-26.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -1.8 (-11.2) | 155.2 (-16.2) | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -1.7 (-11.3) | 154.2 (-15.2) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -1.5 (-11.5) | 153.9 (-14.9) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -0.9 (-12.1) | 153.1 (-14.1) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | JKST 81 – 78 UAPB |
| Feb 9, 2026 | UAPB 84 – 63 JKST |
| Mar 7, 2025 | JKST 76 – 69 UAPB |
| Feb 11, 2025 | JKST 94 – 78 UAPB |
| Mar 8, 2024 | JKST 89 – 84 UAPB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAPB | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 11-7 |
| Home | 8-6 | 6-2 |
| Away | 5-12 | 7-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.7 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -12.7 (#337) | -7.8 (#299) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.68 (#318) | -0.86 (#262) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.34 (#326) | -1.29 (#283) |
| RPI | 0.423 (#313) | 0.456 (#261) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAPB | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 22.4% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 33.3% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 64.2% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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