Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | UNT -115 MEM -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +10 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | UNT -3.4 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (+3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -2.5 (+7.5) | 138.5 (+3.5) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -3.1 (+6.9) | 136.1 (+5.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -2.3 (+7.7) | 137.2 (+4.8) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -2.4 (+7.6) | 139.3 (+2.7) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | UNT 76 – 69 MEM |
| Dec 31, 2025 | MEM 57 – 48 UNT |
| Jan 5, 2025 | MEM 68 – 64 UNT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNT | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 11-7 |
| Home | 11-4 | 13-2 |
| Away | 6-6 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 2-5 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 80.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.4 | 75.8 |
| Massey | 7.5 (#78) | 7.4 (#79) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#125) | 1.80 (#50) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#107) | 2.35 (#46) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#132) | 0.583 (#44) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNT | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 35.7% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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