Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | TENN -1600 MIA +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +13 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -20.4 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.5 (-14.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -14.9 (-1.9) | 145.1 (-8.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -13.3 (-0.3) | 139.9 (-2.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -16.8 (-3.8) | 140.8 (-3.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -16.7 (-3.7) | 143.7 (-6.7) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-8 | 7-24 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 3-17 |
| Home | 16-1 | 7-10 |
| Away | 6-5 | 0-10 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.1 | 80.6 |
| Massey | 23.7 (#4) | 3.3 (#112) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.94 (#3) | -1.82 (#316) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.15 (#3) | -2.20 (#305) |
| RPI | 0.658 (#17) | 0.434 (#284) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.5% | 48.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.5% | 56.2% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 42.7% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.9% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.