Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | NCAT +700 DEL -900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCAT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +8 | 116 | Lost |
| Massey | DEL -11.3 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (-30.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -11.3 (+3.3) | 140.0 (-24.0) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -10.1 (+2.1) | 140.7 (-24.7) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -11.2 (+3.2) | 141.3 (-25.3) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -11.2 (+3.2) | 140.8 (-24.8) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2025 | DEL 98 – 88 NCAT |
| Jan 26, 2024 | DEL 90 – 71 NCAT |
| Feb 24, 2023 | DEL 73 – 71 NCAT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCAT | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 10-8 |
| Home | 4-7 | 8-5 |
| Away | 2-14 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L10 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.9 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -13.1 (#339) | 1.6 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.75 (#321) | 0.13 (#165) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.24 (#324) | 0.26 (#155) |
| RPI | 0.437 (#296) | 0.506 (#166) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCAT | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 64.9% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.