Betting Lines
| Spread | PEPP -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | PEPP -250 PORT +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PEPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PEPP +21 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | PEPP -8.5 (+12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.3 (+7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PEPP -6.0 (+15.0) | 149.6 (+11.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PEPP -5.3 (+15.7) | 147.1 (+13.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PEPP -5.9 (+15.1) | 150.9 (+10.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PEPP -5.6 (+15.4) | 150.6 (+10.4) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | PORT 77 – 68 PEPP |
| Feb 19, 2026 | PEPP 95 – 87 PORT |
| Jan 15, 2026 | PEPP 67 – 63 PORT |
| Mar 8, 2025 | PEPP 86 – 73 PORT |
| Feb 28, 2025 | PORT 87 – 67 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PEPP | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 5-11 |
| Home | 9-8 | 9-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 79.5 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#238) | -9.0 (#309) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#269) | -1.03 (#276) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.89 (#246) | -1.16 (#268) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#277) | 0.452 (#273) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PEPP | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.6% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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