Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | WICH -300 TLSA +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +16 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | WICH -5.0 (+11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (-5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -4.6 (+11.4) | 144.0 (-2.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -6.4 (+9.6) | 149.0 (-7.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -4.5 (+11.5) | 147.0 (-5.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -4.2 (+11.8) | 144.4 (-2.4) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 24, 2026 | TLSA 83 – 79 WICH |
| Mar 14, 2026 | WICH 81 – 68 TLSA |
| Feb 15, 2026 | WICH 81 – 77 TLSA |
| Feb 1, 2026 | TLSA 93 – 83 WICH |
| Mar 9, 2025 | TLSA 73 – 63 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-5 | 14-4 |
| Away | 2-9 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 74.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#161) | -1.3 (#184) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#197) | -0.26 (#199) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#182) | -0.32 (#198) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#205) | 0.472 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 29.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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